Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 61% of their games, both teams scoring in 69%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Tamworth: 50 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. Scunthorpe United: 50 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Tamworth's numbers over its games, Scunthorpe United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Tamworth's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (36%). In Scunthorpe United's own 25 away matches read, 15 (60%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Tamworth -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 21 (42%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 37 of its own 50 (74%). At home: 17 of its 25 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 50 (16%); failed to score in 7 (14%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Tamworth's own 50 matches read: Tamworth or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (38%). Tamworth itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
Scunthorpe United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 16 of its 25 (64%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 50 (64%). Away: 17 of its 25 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 50 (16%); failed to score in 11 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Scunthorpe United's own 50 matches read: Scunthorpe United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Scunthorpe United itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 25.
Built 10:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.