Woking: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season. Boreham Wood: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Woking scores most in the 76-90+ band (24 of 81); Woking concedes most in the 61-75 band (13 of 61); Boreham Wood scores most in the 76-90+ band (30 of 113); Boreham Wood concedes most in the 46-60 band (16 of 61). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Woking -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.6 for and 1.2 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 81 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 14; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 24. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 24 of 81 (30%).
When it concedes
Of 61 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 61 (21%).
The first goal
Scored first in 24 of its 50 read -- then won 15, drew 8, lost 1; conceded first in 22 -- pulled back 4 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 18 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 15 of its 50 read, winning 15 of them; trailed by two in 7, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 11.
Boreham Wood -- away
Goals a game
Scores 2.3 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 2.1 for and 1.3 against over 25.
When it scores
Of 113 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 18; 31-45+: 17; 46-60: 18; 61-75: 19; 76-90+: 30. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 30 of 113 (27%).
When it concedes
Of 61 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 16; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 12.
The first goal
Scored first in 33 of its 50 read -- then won 26, drew 5, lost 2; conceded first in 16 -- pulled back 7 wins and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 24 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 25 of its 50 read, winning 24 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 9.
Built 17:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.