+0.84 points a game is the venue form gap, in Forest Green Rovers's favour: Forest Green Rovers takes 1.76 a game at home over the last two seasons, Eastleigh 0.92 away.
Forest Green Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season. Eastleigh: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Forest Green Rovers -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 2, drew 1, lost 4 of 7, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Last season at home: won 11, drew 4, lost 3 of 18, scoring 40 and conceding 21 -- 2.06 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Hartlepool United 2-4 at home; drew with Wealdstone 1-1 at home; drew with Sutton United 3-3 away; lost to Boston United 1-3 at home; drew with Carlisle United 1-1 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 21 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Robbie Savage. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Eastleigh -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 0, lost 5 of 6, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Last season away: won 5, drew 4, lost 9 of 18, scoring 20 and conceding 30 -- 1.06 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Boston United 4-2 at home; lost to AFC Hornchurch 0-2 away; lost to Woking 1-3 at home; drew with Southend United 1-1 at home; lost to Harrogate Town 1-4 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 3 different managers took its 20 matches with one recorded (14, 5, 1 apiece), most recently Matt Gray with 14. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 10:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.