Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 56% of their games, both teams scoring in 70%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 57%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Forest Green Rovers: 50 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season. Eastleigh: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Forest Green Rovers's numbers over its games, Eastleigh's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Forest Green Rovers's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 15 (60%). In Eastleigh's own 24 away matches read, 13 (54%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 57% of games.
The two sides
Forest Green Rovers -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 44 (88%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). At home: over 2.5 in 18 of its 25 (72%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 34 of its own 50 (68%). At home: 19 of its 25 (76%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 50 (18%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Forest Green Rovers's own 50 matches read: Forest Green Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Forest Green Rovers itself held the lead in 16, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 25.
Eastleigh -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 43 (86%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 36 of its own 50 (72%). Away: 13 of its 24 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 5 of its own 50 (10%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Eastleigh's own 50 matches read: Eastleigh or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Eastleigh itself held the lead in 8, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Built 10:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.