Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 38% of their games, both teams scoring in 49%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 34%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Queen's Park: 45 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Inverness CT: 45 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Queen's Park's numbers over its games, Inverness CT's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queen's Park's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (32%). In Inverness CT's own 22 away matches read, 8 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 34% of games.
The two sides
Queen's Park -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 45 (38%); over 1.5 in 32 (71%); over 3.5 in 7 (16%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 22 (36%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 45 (51%). At home: 11 of its 22 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 45 (22%); failed to score in 18 (40%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Queen's Park's own 45 matches read: Queen's Park or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (36%). Queen's Park itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 22.
Inverness CT -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 45 (38%); over 1.5 in 33 (73%); over 3.5 in 12 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 22 (32%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 45 (47%). Away: 10 of its 22 (45%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 22 of its own 45 (49%); failed to score in 6 (13%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Inverness CT's own 45 matches read: Inverness CT or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (47%). Inverness CT itself held the lead in 17, winning 17. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 22.
Built 19:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.