Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 34% of their games, both teams scoring in 34%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Stenhousemuir: 45 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. Raith Rovers: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Stenhousemuir's numbers over its games, Raith Rovers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stenhousemuir's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (45%). In Raith Rovers's own 23 away matches read, 11 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games.
The two sides
Stenhousemuir -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 13 of its own 45 (29%); over 1.5 in 28 (62%); over 3.5 in 9 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 22 (41%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 45 (36%). At home: 9 of its 22 (41%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 24 of its own 45 (53%); failed to score in 9 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stenhousemuir's own 45 matches read: Stenhousemuir or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (42%). Stenhousemuir itself held the lead in 13, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 22.
Raith Rovers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 46 (39%); over 1.5 in 35 (76%); over 3.5 in 8 (17%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 23 (30%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 15 of its own 46 (33%). Away: 6 of its 23 (26%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 46 (43%); failed to score in 19 (41%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Raith Rovers's own 46 matches read: Raith Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (61%). Raith Rovers itself held the lead in 13, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 23.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.