Queen's Park scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 16-30; Partick Thistle scores heaviest in 1-15 and concedes heaviest in 61-75.
Queen's Park: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. Partick Thistle: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Queen's Park scores most in the 76-90+ band (12 of 43); Queen's Park concedes most in the 16-30 band (16 of 70); Partick Thistle scores most in the 1-15 band (18 of 70); Partick Thistle concedes most in the 61-75 band (9 of 43). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Queen's Park -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 0.9 and concedes 1.4 a game over its last 49 league matches; at home, 0.9 for and 1.2 against over 24.
When it scores
Of 43 scored across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 6; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 4; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 12. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 12 of 43 (28%).
When it concedes
Of 70 conceded across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 9; 16-30: 16; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 14.
The first goal
Scored first in 12 of its 49 read -- then won 8, drew 4, lost 0; conceded first in 31 -- pulled back 3 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 14 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 1 of its 49 read, winning 1 of them; trailed by two in 16, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 4.
Partick Thistle -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.4 and concedes 0.9 a game over its last 49 league matches; away, 1.2 for and 1.2 against over 24.
When it scores
Of 70 scored across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 18; 16-30: 13; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 6; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest scoring spell is the first 15 minutes -- 18 of 70 (26%).
When it concedes
Of 43 conceded across its own 49 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 7.
The first goal
Scored first in 28 of its 49 read -- then won 19, drew 8, lost 1; conceded first in 14 -- pulled back 5 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 20 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 13 of its 49 read, winning 12 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 11.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.