Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Queen of the South: 40 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Airdrieonians: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Queen of the South's numbers over its games, Airdrieonians's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queen of the South's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (50%). In Airdrieonians's own 20 away matches read, 10 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Queen of the South -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 40 (50%); over 1.5 in 36 (90%); over 3.5 in 12 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 20 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 40 (58%). At home: 11 of its 20 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 40 (22%); failed to score in 9 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Queen of the South's own 40 matches read: Queen of the South or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (55%). Queen of the South itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.
Airdrieonians -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 41 (46%); over 1.5 in 27 (66%); over 3.5 in 11 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 20 (45%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 41 (44%). Away: 7 of its 20 (35%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 41 (27%); failed to score in 18 (44%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Airdrieonians's own 41 matches read: Airdrieonians or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (41%). Airdrieonians itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.