Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 42%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Airdrieonians: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship. Hamilton Academical: 45 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Airdrieonians's numbers over its games, Hamilton Academical's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Airdrieonians's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (30%). In Hamilton Academical's own 22 away matches read, 13 (59%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games.
The two sides
Airdrieonians -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 46 (48%); over 1.5 in 30 (65%); over 3.5 in 12 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 23 (43%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 46 (46%). At home: 11 of its 23 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 46 (28%); failed to score in 18 (39%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Airdrieonians's own 46 matches read: Airdrieonians or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (39%). Airdrieonians itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 23.
Hamilton Academical -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 45 (58%); over 1.5 in 32 (71%); over 3.5 in 15 (33%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 22 (68%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 45 (38%). Away: 8 of its 22 (36%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 45 (47%); failed to score in 11 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hamilton Academical's own 45 matches read: Hamilton Academical or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (53%). Hamilton Academical itself held the lead in 17, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 22.
Built 07:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.