Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 46% of their games, both teams scoring in 46%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 38%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
East Fife: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Alloa Athletic: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- East Fife's numbers over its games, Alloa Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In East Fife's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (36%). In Alloa Athletic's own 23 away matches read, 9 (39%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 38% of games.
The two sides
East Fife -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 46 (48%); over 1.5 in 34 (74%); over 3.5 in 8 (17%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 46 (50%). At home: 12 of its 23 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 46 (20%); failed to score in 18 (39%).
Two goals clear
Counted over East Fife's own 45 matches read: East Fife or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (36%). East Fife itself held the lead in 2, winning 2. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 22.
Alloa Athletic -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 46 (43%); over 1.5 in 30 (65%); over 3.5 in 9 (20%). Away: over 2.5 in 8 of its 23 (35%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 46 (41%). Away: 9 of its 23 (39%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 46 (37%); failed to score in 14 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Alloa Athletic's own 46 matches read: Alloa Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (41%). Alloa Athletic itself held the lead in 12, winning 11. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 23.
Built 19:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.