Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 66% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 65%. On the record this leans a goals match.
East Kilbride: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League Two. Montrose: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- East Kilbride's numbers over its games, Montrose's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In East Kilbride's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 19 (83%). In Montrose's own 23 away matches read, 11 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 65% of games.
The two sides
East Kilbride -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 46 (70%); over 1.5 in 42 (91%); over 3.5 in 22 (48%). At home: over 2.5 in 17 of its 23 (74%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 46 (59%). At home: 13 of its 23 (57%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 46 (26%); failed to score in 7 (15%).
Two goals clear
Counted over East Kilbride's own 46 matches read: East Kilbride or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 34 (74%). East Kilbride itself held the lead in 25, winning 23. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 19 of 23.
Montrose -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 46 (63%); over 1.5 in 41 (89%); over 3.5 in 16 (35%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 23 (61%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 46 (57%). Away: 15 of its 23 (65%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 46 (15%); failed to score in 13 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Montrose's own 46 matches read: Montrose or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (57%). Montrose itself held the lead in 11, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 23.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.