Peterhead scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Cove Rangers scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Cove Rangers's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Peterhead is softest.
Peterhead: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Cove Rangers: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Peterhead scores most in the 46-60 band (12 of 55); Peterhead concedes most in the 76-90+ band (22 of 81); Cove Rangers scores most in the 76-90+ band (13 of 50); Cove Rangers concedes most in the 76-90+ band (15 of 57). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Peterhead -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8 a game over its last 46 league matches; at home, 1.4 for and 1.6 against over 23.
When it scores
Of 55 scored across its own 46 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 6; 76-90+: 11.
When it concedes
Of 81 conceded across its own 46 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 15; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 22. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 22 of 81 (27%).
The first goal
Scored first in 15 of its 46 read -- then won 10, drew 5, lost 0; conceded first in 31 -- pulled back 4 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 15 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 9 of its 46 read, winning 8 of them; trailed by two in 15, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 5.
Cove Rangers -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.1 and concedes 1.3 a game over its last 46 league matches; away, 1.2 for and 1.6 against over 23.
When it scores
Of 50 scored across its own 45 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 50 (26%). (1 of its 46 matches lack usable goal times and are left out.)
When it concedes
Of 57 conceded across its own 45 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 12; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 10; 76-90+: 15. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 15 of 57 (26%). (1 of its 46 matches lack usable goal times and are left out.)
The first goal
Scored first in 15 of its 45 read -- then won 11, drew 3, lost 1; conceded first in 25 -- pulled back 0 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 11 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 7 of its 45 read, winning 7 of them; trailed by two in 12, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 7.
Built 03:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.