Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 53%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Peterhead: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Cove Rangers: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Peterhead's numbers over its games, Cove Rangers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Peterhead's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (52%). In Cove Rangers's own 22 away matches read, 12 (55%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 53% of games.
The two sides
Peterhead -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 46 (65%); over 1.5 in 40 (87%); over 3.5 in 16 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 23 (61%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 46 (63%). At home: 14 of its 23 (61%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 46 (9%); failed to score in 13 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Peterhead's own 46 matches read: Peterhead or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (52%). Peterhead itself held the lead in 9, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 23.
Cove Rangers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 46 (41%); over 1.5 in 32 (70%); over 3.5 in 9 (20%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 46 (41%). Away: 10 of its 23 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 46 (24%); failed to score in 21 (46%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cove Rangers's own 45 matches read: Cove Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (42%). Cove Rangers itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 22.
Built 03:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.