Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games, both teams scoring in 52%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 62%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Edinburgh City: 40 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Forfar Athletic: 40 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Edinburgh City's numbers over its games, Forfar Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Edinburgh City's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 16 (80%). In Forfar Athletic's own 20 away matches read, 9 (45%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 62% of games.
The two sides
Edinburgh City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 40 (68%); over 1.5 in 34 (85%); over 3.5 in 18 (45%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 20 (75%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 40 (55%). At home: 12 of its 20 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 40 (18%); failed to score in 13 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Edinburgh City's own 40 matches read: Edinburgh City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (62%). Edinburgh City itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 16 of 20.
Forfar Athletic -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 40 (50%); over 1.5 in 29 (72%); over 3.5 in 12 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 20 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 20 of its own 40 (50%). Away: 10 of its 20 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 40 (32%); failed to score in 10 (25%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Forfar Athletic's own 40 matches read: Forfar Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (45%). Forfar Athletic itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 20.
Built 00:02 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.