Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 52% of their games, both teams scoring in 55%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Kelty Hearts: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One. Annan Athletic: 41 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Kelty Hearts's numbers over its games, Annan Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Kelty Hearts's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (55%). In Annan Athletic's own 20 away matches read, 10 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Kelty Hearts -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 41 (51%); over 1.5 in 34 (83%); over 3.5 in 11 (27%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 20 (45%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 41 (54%). At home: 10 of its 20 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 5 of its own 41 (12%); failed to score in 16 (39%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kelty Hearts's own 41 matches read: Kelty Hearts or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (54%). Kelty Hearts itself held the lead in 7, winning 5. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 20.
Annan Athletic -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 41 (54%); over 1.5 in 31 (76%); over 3.5 in 14 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 20 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 41 (56%). Away: 8 of its 20 (40%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 41 (22%); failed to score in 11 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Annan Athletic's own 41 matches read: Annan Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (49%). Annan Athletic itself held the lead in 9, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 20.
Built 06:38 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.