Dumbarton scores heaviest in the 61-75 spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Stirling Albion scores heaviest in 61-75 and concedes heaviest in 31-45+.
Dumbarton: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Stirling Albion: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Dumbarton scores most in the 61-75 band (15 of 58); Dumbarton concedes most in the 31-45+ band (19 of 77); Stirling Albion scores most in the 61-75 band (15 of 59); Stirling Albion concedes most in the 31-45+ band (27 of 86). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Dumbarton -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.7 a game over its last 46 league matches; at home, 1.5 for and 1.2 against over 23.
When it scores
Of 58 scored across its own 46 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 15; 76-90+: 11.
When it concedes
Of 77 conceded across its own 46 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 19; 46-60: 16; 61-75: 7; 76-90+: 13.
The first goal
Scored first in 18 of its 46 read -- then won 12, drew 4, lost 2; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 2 wins and 6 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 13 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 10 of its 46 read, winning 9 of them; trailed by two in 18, rescuing 2 results; was ahead at some point without winning in 6.
Stirling Albion -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.9 a game over its last 46 league matches; away, 1.4 for and 2.2 against over 23.
When it scores
Of 59 scored across its own 46 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 15; 76-90+: 14.
When it concedes
Of 86 conceded across its own 46 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 15; 31-45+: 27; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 9; 76-90+: 13.
The first goal
Scored first in 17 of its 46 read -- then won 10, drew 5, lost 2; conceded first in 28 -- pulled back 2 wins and 7 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 14 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 6 of its 46 read, winning 6 of them; trailed by two in 21, rescuing 3 results; was ahead at some point without winning in 8.
Built 19:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.