Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 59% of their games, both teams scoring in 63%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 61%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Dumbarton: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Stirling Albion: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dumbarton's numbers over its games, Stirling Albion's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dumbarton's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (52%). In Stirling Albion's own 23 away matches read, 16 (70%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 61% of games.
The two sides
Dumbarton -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 46 (59%); over 1.5 in 42 (91%); over 3.5 in 12 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 23 (70%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 46 (65%). At home: 15 of its 23 (65%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 46 (13%); failed to score in 11 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dumbarton's own 46 matches read: Dumbarton or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (61%). Dumbarton itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 23.
Stirling Albion -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 46 (59%); over 1.5 in 39 (85%); over 3.5 in 17 (37%). Away: over 2.5 in 16 of its 23 (70%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 46 (61%). Away: 15 of its 23 (65%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 46 (15%); failed to score in 12 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stirling Albion's own 46 matches read: Stirling Albion or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (59%). Stirling Albion itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 16 of 23.
Built 19:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.