Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 64% of their games, both teams scoring in 60%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Elgin City: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Edinburgh City: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Elgin City's numbers over its games, Edinburgh City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Elgin City's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (61%). In Edinburgh City's own 23 away matches read, 10 (43%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Elgin City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 46 (61%); over 1.5 in 41 (89%); over 3.5 in 15 (33%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 23 (57%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 46 (61%). At home: 12 of its 23 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 46 (24%); failed to score in 8 (17%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Elgin City's own 46 matches read: Elgin City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (54%). Elgin City itself held the lead in 13, winning 12. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 23.
Edinburgh City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 46 (67%); over 1.5 in 39 (85%); over 3.5 in 22 (48%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 23 (61%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 46 (59%). Away: 12 of its 23 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 46 (17%); failed to score in 14 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Edinburgh City's own 46 matches read: Edinburgh City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (61%). Edinburgh City itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 23.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.