Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games, both teams scoring in 46%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 61%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Kilmarnock: 41 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. St. Mirren: 41 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Kilmarnock's numbers over its games, St. Mirren's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Kilmarnock's own 21 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (67%). In St. Mirren's own 20 away matches read, 11 (55%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 61% of games.
The two sides
Kilmarnock -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 41 (68%); over 1.5 in 35 (85%); over 3.5 in 19 (46%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 21 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 41 (56%). At home: 10 of its 21 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 41 (22%); failed to score in 11 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kilmarnock's own 41 matches read: Kilmarnock or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (61%). Kilmarnock itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 21.
St. Mirren -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 13 of its own 41 (32%); over 1.5 in 28 (68%); over 3.5 in 7 (17%). Away: over 2.5 in 8 of its 20 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 15 of its own 41 (37%). Away: 11 of its 20 (55%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 41 (27%); failed to score in 18 (44%).
Two goals clear
Counted over St. Mirren's own 41 matches read: St. Mirren or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (46%). St. Mirren itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 20.
Built 07:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.