Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 63% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Hibernian: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Kilmarnock: 43 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Hibernian's numbers over its games, Kilmarnock's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Hibernian's own 21 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (52%). In Kilmarnock's own 21 away matches read, 11 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Hibernian -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 43 (60%); over 1.5 in 34 (79%); over 3.5 in 12 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 21 (57%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 43 (58%). At home: 11 of its 21 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 43 (26%); failed to score in 11 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hibernian's own 43 matches read: Hibernian or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (49%). Hibernian itself held the lead in 15, winning 13. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 21.
Kilmarnock -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 43 (65%); over 1.5 in 35 (81%); over 3.5 in 19 (44%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 21 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 43 (53%). Away: 13 of its 21 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 43 (23%); failed to score in 13 (30%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kilmarnock's own 43 matches read: Kilmarnock or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (58%). Kilmarnock itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 21.
Built 07:32 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.