Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 50%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 50%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Kilmarnock: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. Motherwell: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Kilmarnock's numbers over its games, Motherwell's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Kilmarnock's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 14 (61%). In Motherwell's own 23 away matches read, 9 (39%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 50% of games.
The two sides
Kilmarnock -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 46 (63%); over 1.5 in 37 (80%); over 3.5 in 20 (43%). At home: over 2.5 in 14 of its 23 (61%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 46 (54%). At home: 11 of its 23 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 46 (24%); failed to score in 13 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kilmarnock's own 46 matches read: Kilmarnock or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (57%). Kilmarnock itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 14 of 23.
Motherwell -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 46 (43%); over 1.5 in 35 (76%); over 3.5 in 13 (28%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 46 (46%). Away: 14 of its 23 (61%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 46 (43%); failed to score in 11 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Motherwell's own 46 matches read: Motherwell or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (48%). Motherwell itself held the lead in 16, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 23.
Built 07:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.