Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 48%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 51%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
St. Johnstone: 44 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship. Dundee United: 46 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- St. Johnstone's numbers over its games, Dundee United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In St. Johnstone's own 22 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (36%). In Dundee United's own 23 away matches read, 15 (65%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 51% of games.
The two sides
St. Johnstone -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 44 (45%); over 1.5 in 29 (66%); over 3.5 in 12 (27%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 22 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 20 of its own 44 (45%). At home: 10 of its 22 (45%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 44 (48%); failed to score in 9 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over St. Johnstone's own 44 matches read: St. Johnstone or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (41%). St. Johnstone itself held the lead in 15, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 22.
Dundee United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 46 (50%); over 1.5 in 41 (89%); over 3.5 in 15 (33%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 23 (61%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 23 of its own 46 (50%). Away: 12 of its 23 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 46 (22%); failed to score in 16 (35%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dundee United's own 46 matches read: Dundee United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (50%). Dundee United itself held the lead in 10, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 23.
Built 03:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.