Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 47%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 47%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Aberdeen: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Falkirk: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Aberdeen's numbers over its games, Falkirk's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Aberdeen's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (38%). In Falkirk's own 23 away matches read, 13 (57%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 47% of games.
The two sides
Aberdeen -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 48 (38%); over 1.5 in 35 (73%); over 3.5 in 12 (25%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 48 (38%). At home: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 48 (25%); failed to score in 21 (44%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Aberdeen's own 48 matches read: Aberdeen or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (48%). Aberdeen itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 24.
Falkirk -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 48 (58%); over 1.5 in 37 (77%); over 3.5 in 13 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 48 (56%). Away: 10 of its 23 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 48 (23%); failed to score in 13 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Falkirk's own 48 matches read: Falkirk or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (50%). Falkirk itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 23.
Built 09:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.