Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 58% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 62%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Celtic: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Dundee United: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Celtic's numbers over its games, Dundee United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Celtic's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 15 (62%). In Dundee United's own 24 away matches read, 15 (62%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 62% of games.
The two sides
Celtic -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 48 (67%); over 1.5 in 38 (79%); over 3.5 in 18 (38%). At home: over 2.5 in 17 of its 24 (71%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 48 (56%). At home: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 48 (35%); failed to score in 6 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Celtic's own 48 matches read: Celtic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (54%). Celtic itself held the lead in 18, winning 18. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 24.
Dundee United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 48 (50%); over 1.5 in 43 (90%); over 3.5 in 16 (33%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 48 (52%). Away: 13 of its 24 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 48 (21%); failed to score in 16 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dundee United's own 48 matches read: Dundee United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (48%). Dundee United itself held the lead in 10, winning 8. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 24.
Built 09:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.