Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 58% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 45%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Hearts: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Rangers: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Hearts's numbers over its games, Rangers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Hearts's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (52%). In Rangers's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 45% of games.
The two sides
Hearts -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 48 (58%); over 1.5 in 37 (77%); over 3.5 in 15 (31%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 23 (57%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 48 (52%). At home: 10 of its 23 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 48 (42%); failed to score in 4 (8%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hearts's own 48 matches read: Hearts or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (48%). Hearts itself held the lead in 18, winning 18. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 23.
Rangers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 48 (58%); over 1.5 in 37 (77%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 48 (62%). Away: 16 of its 24 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 48 (35%); failed to score in 4 (8%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Rangers's own 48 matches read: Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (46%). Rangers itself held the lead in 17, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 24.
Built 09:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.