Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 45% of their games, both teams scoring in 46%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 36%. On the record this leans a tight match.
St. Johnstone: 46 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish Championship. Motherwell: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- St. Johnstone's numbers over its games, Motherwell's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In St. Johnstone's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (35%). In Motherwell's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 36% of games.
The two sides
St. Johnstone -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 46 (46%); over 1.5 in 31 (67%); over 3.5 in 13 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 23 (48%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 46 (46%). At home: 11 of its 23 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 46 (46%); failed to score in 10 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over St. Johnstone's own 46 matches read: St. Johnstone or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (41%). St. Johnstone itself held the lead in 15, winning 15. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 23.
Motherwell -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 21 of its own 48 (44%); over 1.5 in 37 (77%); over 3.5 in 14 (29%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 48 (46%). Away: 15 of its 24 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 48 (42%); failed to score in 12 (25%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Motherwell's own 48 matches read: Motherwell or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (48%). Motherwell itself held the lead in 16, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 24.
Built 09:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.