Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 48%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 43%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
St. Mirren: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Hibernian: 48 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- St. Mirren's numbers over its games, Hibernian's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In St. Mirren's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (42%). In Hibernian's own 23 away matches read, 10 (43%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 43% of games.
The two sides
St. Mirren -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 48 (38%); over 1.5 in 33 (69%); over 3.5 in 9 (19%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 24 (33%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 48 (38%). At home: 6 of its 24 (25%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 48 (25%); failed to score in 21 (44%).
Two goals clear
Counted over St. Mirren's own 48 matches read: St. Mirren or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (48%). St. Mirren itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Hibernian -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 48 (58%); over 1.5 in 37 (77%); over 3.5 in 12 (25%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 23 (61%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 48 (58%). Away: 14 of its 23 (61%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 48 (23%); failed to score in 13 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hibernian's own 48 matches read: Hibernian or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (46%). Hibernian itself held the lead in 15, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 23.
Built 09:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.