Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 39%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Dundee United: 49 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season. Hearts: 49 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Dundee United's numbers over its games, Hearts's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Dundee United's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (33%). In Hearts's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 39% of games.
The two sides
Dundee United -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 25 of its own 49 (51%); over 1.5 in 44 (90%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 24 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 49 (53%). At home: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 49 (20%); failed to score in 16 (33%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dundee United's own 49 matches read: Dundee United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (47%). Dundee United itself held the lead in 10, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24.
Hearts -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 49 (59%); over 1.5 in 38 (78%); over 3.5 in 16 (33%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 25 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 49 (53%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 20 of its own 49 (41%); failed to score in 4 (8%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hearts's own 49 matches read: Hearts or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (47%). Hearts itself held the lead in 18, winning 18. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Built 02:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.