Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 38%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
St. Mirren: 50 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season. Rangers: 49 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- St. Mirren's numbers over its games, Rangers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In St. Mirren's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (40%). In Rangers's own 25 away matches read, 9 (36%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 38% of games.
The two sides
St. Mirren -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 50 (36%); over 1.5 in 34 (68%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 25 (32%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 50 (38%). At home: 7 of its 25 (28%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 22 (44%).
Two goals clear
Counted over St. Mirren's own 50 matches read: St. Mirren or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (46%). St. Mirren itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Rangers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 49 (59%); over 1.5 in 38 (78%); over 3.5 in 18 (37%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 49 (63%). Away: 17 of its 25 (68%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 49 (35%); failed to score in 4 (8%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Rangers's own 49 matches read: Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (45%). Rangers itself held the lead in 17, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.