Newcastle United W v Wolverhampton Wanderers W

Women's Championship, game week 1 — UK time

Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come.

What this step says

Too little in the bank yet to argue a view — the evidence below is what there is.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Newcastle United W: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. Wolverhampton Wanderers W: 0 league matches in the bank, all from last season.

The question this step asks

Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.

Side by side: Newcastle United W scores most in the 76-90+ band (11 of 32); Newcastle United W concedes most in the 31-45+ band (7 of 25). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.

The two sides

Newcastle United W -- at home

Goals a game
Scores 1.5 and concedes 1.1 a game over its last 22 league matches; at home, 1.2 for and 0.7 against over 11.
When it scores
Of 32 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 4; 61-75: 3; 76-90+: 11. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 11 of 32 (34%).
When it concedes
Of 25 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 2; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 3.
The first goal
Scored first in 12 of its 22 read -- then won 8, drew 3, lost 1; conceded first in 9 -- pulled back 0 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 6 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 6 of its 22 read, winning 6 of them; trailed by two in 3, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 4.

Wolverhampton Wanderers W -- away

Goals a game
No league matches in our bank.
When it scores
No goals scored among the 0 matches with goal times recorded.
When it concedes
No goals conceded among the 0 matches with goal times recorded.
The first goal
No matches with usable goal times to read.

Built 00:09 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.