Sunderland Women scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Bristol City Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Sunderland Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Bristol City Women is softest.
Sunderland Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season. Bristol City Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Sunderland Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (8 of 28); Sunderland Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (13 of 35); Bristol City Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (12 of 47); Bristol City Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (7 of 31). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Sunderland Women -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.6 a game over its last 22 league matches; at home, 1.4 for and 1.6 against over 11.
When it scores
Of 28 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 2; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 8. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 8 of 28 (29%).
When it concedes
Of 35 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 0; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 13. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 13 of 35 (37%).
The first goal
Scored first in 10 of its 22 read -- then won 4, drew 5, lost 1; conceded first in 12 -- pulled back 2 wins and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 7 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 3 of its 22 read, winning 3 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 7.
Bristol City Women -- away
Goals a game
Scores 2.1 and concedes 1.4 a game over its last 22 league matches; away, 2.0 for and 1.8 against over 11.
When it scores
Of 47 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 7; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 3; 76-90+: 12. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 12 of 47 (26%).
When it concedes
Of 31 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 7. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 7 of 31 (23%).
The first goal
Scored first in 13 of its 22 read -- then won 10, drew 1, lost 2; conceded first in 9 -- pulled back 1 win and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 7 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 9 of its 22 read, winning 9 of them; trailed by two in 3, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 5.
Built 00:09 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.