Ipswich Town W scores heaviest in the 1-15 spell and concedes heaviest in 46-60; Wolverhampton Wanderers W scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 1-15. The shapes mesh: Ipswich Town W's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Wolverhampton Wanderers W is softest.
Ipswich Town W: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Wolverhampton Wanderers W: 3 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Ipswich Town W scores most in the 1-15 band (6 of 28); Ipswich Town W concedes most in the 46-60 band (11 of 43); Wolverhampton Wanderers W scores most in the 31-45+ band (3 of 6); Wolverhampton Wanderers W concedes most in the 1-15 band (1 of 3). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Ipswich Town W -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.1 and concedes 1.7 a game over its last 25 league matches; at home, 1.4 for and 1.8 against over 12.
When it scores
Of 28 scored across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 3; 76-90+: 4. Its heaviest scoring spell is the first 15 minutes -- 6 of 28 (21%).
When it concedes
Of 43 conceded across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 4; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 11; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 8.
The first goal
Scored first in 12 of its 25 read -- then won 7, drew 3, lost 2; conceded first in 11 -- pulled back 0 wins and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 5 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 4 of its 25 read, winning 4 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 5.
Wolverhampton Wanderers W -- away
Goals a game
Scores 2.0 and concedes 1.0 a game over its last 3 league matches; away, 0.0 for and 2.0 against over 1.
When it scores
Of 6 scored across its own 3 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 0; 16-30: 0; 31-45+: 3; 46-60: 1; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 1.
When it concedes
Of 3 conceded across its own 3 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 1; 16-30: 1; 31-45+: 0; 46-60: 0; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 0. Its heaviest conceding spell is the first 15 minutes -- 1 of 3 (33%).
The first goal
Scored first in 2 of its 3 read -- then won 2, drew 0, lost 0; conceded first in 1 -- pulled back 0 wins and 0 draws from them.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 2 of its 3 read, winning 2 of them; trailed by two in 1, rescuing nothing.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.