Newcastle United W scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; Leicester City WFC scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 31-45+. The shapes mesh: Leicester City WFC's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Newcastle United W is softest.
Newcastle United W: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Leicester City WFC: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the Women's Super League.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Newcastle United W scores most in the 76-90+ band (11 of 39); Newcastle United W concedes most in the 31-45+ band (8 of 26); Leicester City WFC scores most in the 31-45+ band (5 of 16); Leicester City WFC concedes most in the 31-45+ band (12 of 55). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Newcastle United W -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.0 a game over its last 25 league matches; at home, 1.5 for and 0.7 against over 13.
When it scores
Of 39 scored across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 3; 76-90+: 11. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 11 of 39 (28%).
When it concedes
Of 26 conceded across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 2; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 3.
The first goal
Scored first in 15 of its 25 read -- then won 11, drew 3, lost 1; conceded first in 9 -- pulled back 0 wins and 5 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 6 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 8 of its 25 read, winning 8 of them; trailed by two in 3, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 4.
Leicester City WFC -- away
Goals a game
Scores 0.6 and concedes 2.2 a game over its last 25 league matches; away, 0.3 for and 2.7 against over 12.
When it scores
Of 16 scored across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 0; 16-30: 2; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 5. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 5 of 16 (31%).
When it concedes
Of 55 conceded across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 8; 16-30: 8; 31-45+: 12; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 6; 76-90+: 12. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 12 of 55 (22%).
The first goal
Scored first in 5 of its 25 read -- then won 3, drew 0, lost 2; conceded first in 19 -- pulled back 1 win and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 5 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 1 of its 25 read, winning 1 of them; trailed by two in 12, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 2.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.