Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 46% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 44%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Newcastle United W: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Leicester City WFC: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the Women's Super League.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Newcastle United W's numbers over its games, Leicester City WFC's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Newcastle United W's own 13 home matches read, one appeared in 5 (38%). In Leicester City WFC's own 12 away matches read, 6 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 44% of games.
The two sides
Newcastle United W -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 11 of its own 25 (44%); over 1.5 in 20 (80%); over 3.5 in 6 (24%). At home: over 2.5 in 3 of its 13 (23%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 25 (68%). At home: 6 of its 13 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 25 (24%); failed to score in 3 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Newcastle United W's own 25 matches read: Newcastle United W or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 11 (44%). Newcastle United W itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 5 of 13.
Leicester City WFC -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 12 of its own 25 (48%); over 1.5 in 16 (64%); over 3.5 in 8 (32%). Away: over 2.5 in 5 of its 12 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 10 of its own 25 (40%). Away: 3 of its 12 (25%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 25 (16%); failed to score in 12 (48%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Leicester City WFC's own 25 matches read: Leicester City WFC or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (52%). Leicester City WFC itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 12.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.