Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 64% of their games, both teams scoring in 70%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 67%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Sheffield United Ladies: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Durham Women: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Sheffield United Ladies's numbers over its games, Durham Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Sheffield United Ladies's own 12 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (50%). In Durham Women's own 12 away matches read, 10 (83%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 67% of games.
The two sides
Sheffield United Ladies -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 15 of its own 25 (60%); over 1.5 in 20 (80%); over 3.5 in 9 (36%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 12 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 25 (64%). At home: 6 of its 12 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 1 of its own 25 (4%); failed to score in 9 (36%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sheffield United Ladies's own 25 matches read: Sheffield United Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (52%). Sheffield United Ladies itself held the lead in 4, winning 4. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 12.
Durham Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 25 (68%); over 1.5 in 23 (92%); over 3.5 in 6 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 12 (75%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 25 (76%). Away: 8 of its 12 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 25 (16%); failed to score in 3 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Durham Women's own 25 matches read: Durham Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 14 (56%). Durham Women itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 12.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.