Crystal Palace Ladies scores heaviest in the 46-60 spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Everton Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 1-15. The shapes mesh: Everton Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Crystal Palace Ladies is softest.
Crystal Palace Ladies: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season in the Women's Championship. Everton Women: 22 league matches in the bank, all from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Crystal Palace Ladies scores most in the 46-60 band (11 of 44); Crystal Palace Ladies concedes most in the 76-90+ band (8 of 26); Everton Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (7 of 25); Everton Women concedes most in the 1-15 band (7 of 37). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Crystal Palace Ladies -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 2.0 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 22 league matches; at home, 2.5 for and 1.2 against over 11.
When it scores
Of 44 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 11; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 7.
When it concedes
Of 26 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 4; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 8. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 8 of 26 (31%).
The first goal
Scored first in 10 of its 22 read -- then won 9, drew 1, lost 0; conceded first in 11 -- pulled back 4 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 15 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 8 of its 22 read, winning 7 of them; trailed by two in 2, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 2.
Everton Women -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.1 and concedes 1.7 a game over its last 22 league matches; away, 1.3 for and 1.4 against over 11.
When it scores
Of 25 scored across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 6; 16-30: 2; 31-45+: 3; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 7. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 7 of 25 (28%).
When it concedes
Of 37 conceded across its own 22 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 7; 61-75: 5; 76-90+: 7. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 7 of 37 (19%).
The first goal
Scored first in 8 of its 22 read -- then won 5, drew 2, lost 1; conceded first in 14 -- pulled back 2 wins and 0 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 7 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 1 of its 22 read, winning 1 of them; trailed by two in 8, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 3.
Built 00:09 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.