Charlton Athletic Ladies scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 76-90+; Manchester City Women scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 61-75. The shapes mesh: Manchester City Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where Charlton Athletic Ladies is softest.
Charlton Athletic Ladies: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the Women's Championship. Manchester City Women: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Charlton Athletic Ladies scores most in the 31-45+ band (8 of 32); Charlton Athletic Ladies concedes most in the 76-90+ band (7 of 30); Manchester City Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (17 of 73); Manchester City Women concedes most in the 61-75 band (6 of 23). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.3 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 25 league matches; at home, 1.2 for and 1.4 against over 13.
When it scores
Of 32 scored across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 4; 31-45+: 8; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 7.
When it concedes
Of 30 conceded across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 6; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 2; 76-90+: 7. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 7 of 30 (23%).
The first goal
Scored first in 12 of its 25 read -- then won 10, drew 1, lost 1; conceded first in 12 -- pulled back 2 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 10 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 6 of its 25 read, winning 6 of them; trailed by two in 6, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 3.
Manchester City Women -- away
Goals a game
Scores 2.9 and concedes 0.9 a game over its last 25 league matches; away, 2.3 for and 1.0 against over 12.
When it scores
Of 73 scored across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 9; 16-30: 12; 31-45+: 13; 46-60: 9; 61-75: 13; 76-90+: 17. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 17 of 73 (23%).
When it concedes
Of 23 conceded across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 2; 16-30: 4; 31-45+: 4; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 6; 76-90+: 4.
The first goal
Scored first in 20 of its 25 read -- then won 19, drew 0, lost 1; conceded first in 4 -- pulled back 2 wins and 0 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 9 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 14 of its 25 read, winning 14 of them; trailed by two in 2, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 1.
Built 00:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.