Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 60%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Charlton Athletic Ladies: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the Women's Championship. Manchester City Women: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Charlton Athletic Ladies's numbers over its games, Manchester City Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Charlton Athletic Ladies's own 13 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (62%). In Manchester City Women's own 12 away matches read, 7 (58%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 60% of games.
The two sides
Charlton Athletic Ladies -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 10 of its own 25 (40%); over 1.5 in 19 (76%); over 3.5 in 5 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 13 (46%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 13 of its own 25 (52%). At home: 6 of its 13 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 25 (32%); failed to score in 5 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Charlton Athletic Ladies's own 25 matches read: Charlton Athletic Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 12 (48%). Charlton Athletic Ladies itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 13.
Manchester City Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 25 (80%); over 1.5 in 21 (84%); over 3.5 in 12 (48%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 12 (83%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 25 (64%). Away: 8 of its 12 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 25 (32%); failed to score in 2 (8%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Manchester City Women's own 25 matches read: Manchester City Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 16 (64%). Manchester City Women itself held the lead in 14, winning 14. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 12.
Built 00:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.