London City Lionesses v Brighton & Hove Albion Women
Women's Super League, game week 4 — UK time
Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.
What this step says
Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 64%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 29%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
London City Lionesses: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. Brighton & Hove Albion Women: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- London City Lionesses's numbers over its games, Brighton & Hove Albion Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In London City Lionesses's own 12 home matches read, one appeared in 5 (42%). In Brighton & Hove Albion Women's own 12 away matches read, 2 (17%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 29% of games.
The two sides
London City Lionesses -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 15 of its own 25 (60%); over 1.5 in 19 (76%); over 3.5 in 7 (28%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 12 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 17 of its own 25 (68%). At home: 7 of its 12 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 3 of its own 25 (12%); failed to score in 6 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over London City Lionesses's own 25 matches read: London City Lionesses or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (52%). London City Lionesses itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 5 of 12.
Brighton & Hove Albion Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 12 of its own 25 (48%); over 1.5 in 16 (64%); over 3.5 in 6 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 5 of its 12 (42%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 15 of its own 25 (60%). Away: 7 of its 12 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 25 (24%); failed to score in 6 (24%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Brighton & Hove Albion Women's own 25 matches read: Brighton & Hove Albion Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 7 (28%). Brighton & Hove Albion Women itself held the lead in 4, winning 3. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 2 of 12.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.