Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 64% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 54%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Birmingham City Women: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the Women's Championship. Crystal Palace Ladies: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season in the Women's Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Birmingham City Women's numbers over its games, Crystal Palace Ladies's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Birmingham City Women's own 12 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (75%). In Crystal Palace Ladies's own 12 away matches read, 4 (33%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 54% of games.
The two sides
Birmingham City Women -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 25 (64%); over 1.5 in 21 (84%); over 3.5 in 9 (36%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 12 (83%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 12 of its own 25 (48%). At home: 8 of its 12 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 25 (32%); failed to score in 5 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Birmingham City Women's own 25 matches read: Birmingham City Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (68%). Birmingham City Women itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 12.
Crystal Palace Ladies -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 25 (64%); over 1.5 in 18 (72%); over 3.5 in 9 (36%). Away: over 2.5 in 7 of its 12 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 15 of its own 25 (60%). Away: 8 of its 12 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 25 (32%); failed to score in 4 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Crystal Palace Ladies's own 25 matches read: Crystal Palace Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 11 (44%). Crystal Palace Ladies itself held the lead in 8, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 12.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.