Manchester United Women scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 31-45+; West Ham United Women scores heaviest in 46-60 and concedes heaviest in 76-90+. The shapes mesh: Manchester United Women's strongest scoring spell is exactly where West Ham United Women is softest.
Manchester United Women: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season. West Ham United Women: 25 league matches in the bank, 3 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Manchester United Women scores most in the 76-90+ band (14 of 40); Manchester United Women concedes most in the 31-45+ band (9 of 30); West Ham United Women scores most in the 46-60 band (6 of 23); West Ham United Women concedes most in the 76-90+ band (12 of 50). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Manchester United Women -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 25 league matches; at home, 1.5 for and 1.5 against over 12.
When it scores
Of 40 scored across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 4; 16-30: 3; 31-45+: 6; 46-60: 5; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 14. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 14 of 40 (35%).
When it concedes
Of 30 conceded across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 5; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 6.
The first goal
Scored first in 10 of its 25 read -- then won 9, drew 1, lost 0; conceded first in 11 -- pulled back 2 wins and 3 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 9 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 8 of its 25 read, winning 8 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 1.
West Ham United Women -- away
Goals a game
Scores 0.9 and concedes 2.0 a game over its last 25 league matches; away, 0.7 for and 2.0 against over 12.
When it scores
Of 23 scored across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 3; 16-30: 1; 31-45+: 3; 46-60: 6; 61-75: 4; 76-90+: 6. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 6 of 23 (26%).
When it concedes
Of 50 conceded across its own 25 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 7; 16-30: 7; 31-45+: 5; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 11; 76-90+: 12. Its heaviest conceding spell is after the 75th minute -- 12 of 50 (24%).
The first goal
Scored first in 9 of its 25 read -- then won 5, drew 2, lost 2; conceded first in 15 -- pulled back 1 win and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 4 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 4 of its 25 read, winning 4 of them; trailed by two in 9, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 4.
Built 00:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.