Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Aston Villa Ladies: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Liverpool Women: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Aston Villa Ladies's numbers over its games, Liverpool Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Aston Villa Ladies's own 13 home matches read, one appeared in 8 (62%). In Liverpool Women's own 14 away matches read, 6 (43%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Aston Villa Ladies -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 17 of its own 27 (63%); over 1.5 in 23 (85%); over 3.5 in 10 (37%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 13 (69%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 27 (67%). At home: 8 of its 13 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 27 (22%); failed to score in 6 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Aston Villa Ladies's own 27 matches read: Aston Villa Ladies or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (48%). Aston Villa Ladies itself held the lead in 2, winning 2. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 13.
Liverpool Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 12 of its own 27 (44%); over 1.5 in 20 (74%); over 3.5 in 8 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 8 of its 14 (57%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 13 of its own 27 (48%). Away: 6 of its 14 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 27 (22%); failed to score in 10 (37%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Liverpool Women's own 27 matches read: Liverpool Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (48%). Liverpool Women itself held the lead in 6, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 14.
Built 00:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.