Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 59%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 37%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
London City Lionesses: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season. Everton Women: 27 league matches in the bank, 5 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- London City Lionesses's numbers over its games, Everton Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In London City Lionesses's own 13 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (46%). In Everton Women's own 14 away matches read, 4 (29%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 37% of games.
The two sides
London City Lionesses -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 27 (59%); over 1.5 in 21 (78%); over 3.5 in 8 (30%). At home: over 2.5 in 6 of its 13 (46%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 27 (67%). At home: 7 of its 13 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 27 (15%); failed to score in 6 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over London City Lionesses's own 27 matches read: London City Lionesses or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 15 (56%). London City Lionesses itself held the lead in 8, winning 8. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 13.
Everton Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 13 of its own 27 (48%); over 1.5 in 17 (63%); over 3.5 in 7 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 5 of its 14 (36%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 14 of its own 27 (52%). Away: 6 of its 14 (43%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 27 (22%); failed to score in 7 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Everton Women's own 27 matches read: Everton Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 10 (37%). Everton Women itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 4 of 14.
Built 00:06 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.