Millwall: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Bolton Wanderers: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart?
The two sides
Millwall -- at home
Where it stands
Stands 11th of 24 after 4 games, with 6 points -- too few games yet to mean much. Last season it finished 4th of 24 in this division.
Its block
By last season's final table it sits in the top block (1st to 8th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 4 games old.
Against today's opponent's block
Today it faces a side new to its division, and none of the matches we hold were against that block -- nothing to read.
Across all the blocks
Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 5, drew 5, lost 7 of 17 (1.18 a game); against the middle block won 12, drew 3, lost 2 of 17 (2.29 a game); against the bottom block won 8, drew 4, lost 4 of 16 (1.75 a game).
Bolton Wanderers -- away
Where it stands
Stands 16th of 24 after 4 games, with 4 points -- too few games yet to mean much. It was not in this division last season -- it came up from the League One, where it finished 3rd of 24.
Its block
New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table.
Against today's opponent's block
Today it faces a side from the top block (1st to 8th). Against that block it has won 6, drew 7, lost 2 of 15 -- 25 points of 45. At home against them: won 4 of 8. Away against them: won 2 of 7.
Across all the blocks
Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 6, drew 7, lost 2 of 15 (1.67 a game); against the middle block won 7, drew 8, lost 3 of 18 (1.61 a game); against the bottom block won 9, drew 3, lost 4 of 16 (1.88 a game); against sides new to the division won 0, drew 0, lost 1 of 1 (0.00 a game).
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.