+0.51 points a game is the venue form gap, in Millwall's favour: Millwall takes 1.80 a game at home over the last two seasons, Bolton Wanderers 1.29 away.
Millwall: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Bolton Wanderers: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Millwall -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 1, drew 0, lost 1 of 2, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Last season at home: won 13, drew 3, lost 7 of 23, scoring 33 and conceding 24 -- 1.83 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Wrexham 0-3 at home; lost to Southampton 1-5 away; beat Norwich City 3-0 at home; beat Bristol City 2-0 away; lost to Hull City 0-2 at home. The last of these is from last season.
The dugout
Every one of the 36 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Alex Neil. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Bolton Wanderers -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 0, drew 1, lost 1 of 2, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Last season away in the League One: won 7, drew 9, lost 6 of 22, scoring 24 and conceding 25 -- 1.36 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Sheffield United 2-3 away; lost to Lincoln City 0-1 at home; drew with Queens Park Rangers 0-0 away; beat Preston North End 2-1 at home; beat Stockport County 4-1 at home in the League One. The last of these is from last season.
The dugout
Every one of the 20 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Steven Schumacher. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.