Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 51% of their games, both teams scoring in 57%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 40%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Portsmouth: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Cardiff City: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Portsmouth's numbers over its games, Cardiff City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Portsmouth's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (36%). In Cardiff City's own 25 away matches read, 11 (44%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 40% of games.
The two sides
Portsmouth -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 13 (26%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). At home: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 14 (28%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Portsmouth's own 50 matches read: Portsmouth or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (42%). Portsmouth itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
Cardiff City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 50 (56%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 19 (38%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 50 (58%). Away: 16 of its 25 (64%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 50 (34%); failed to score in 6 (12%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cardiff City's own 50 matches read: Cardiff City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (46%). Cardiff City itself held the lead in 16, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 25.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.