Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 57% of their games, both teams scoring in 62%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 36%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Birmingham City: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Queens Park Rangers: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Birmingham City's numbers over its games, Queens Park Rangers's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Birmingham City's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (40%). In Queens Park Rangers's own 25 away matches read, 8 (32%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 36% of games.
The two sides
Birmingham City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 50 (54%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 25 (60%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). At home: 18 of its 25 (72%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Birmingham City's own 50 matches read: Birmingham City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (38%). Birmingham City itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 25.
Queens Park Rangers -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). Away: 13 of its 25 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 16 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Queens Park Rangers's own 50 matches read: Queens Park Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Queens Park Rangers itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 25.
Built 03:23 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.