+0.63 points a game is the venue form gap, in Liverpool's favour: Liverpool takes 1.89 a game at home over the last two seasons, Nottingham Forest 1.26 away.
Liverpool: 39 league matches in the bank, 1 from this season and the rest from last season. Nottingham Forest: 39 league matches in the bank, 1 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Liverpool -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
No home game yet this season. Last season at home: won 10, drew 6, lost 3 of 19, scoring 34 and conceding 20 -- 1.89 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Newcastle United 2-2 away; drew with Brentford 1-1 at home; lost to Aston Villa 2-4 away; drew with Chelsea 1-1 at home; lost to Manchester United 2-3 away. The last 4 of these are from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 39 matches with one recorded (38, 1 apiece), most recently Andoni Iraola Sagarna with 1. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Nottingham Forest -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
No away game yet this season. Last season away: won 7, drew 3, lost 9 of 19, scoring 28 and conceding 28 -- 1.26 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Leeds United 0-1 at home; drew with AFC Bournemouth 1-1 at home; lost to Manchester United 2-3 away; drew with Newcastle United 1-1 at home; beat Chelsea 3-1 away. The last 4 of these are from last season.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 5 different managers took its 39 matches with one recorded (18, 12, 5, 3, 1 apiece), most recently Oliver Glasner with 1. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 06:36 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.