Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 64% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 57%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Manchester City: 40 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season. Coventry City: 48 league matches in the bank, 2 from this season and the rest from last season in the Championship.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Manchester City's numbers over its games, Coventry City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester City's own 20 home matches read, one appeared in 13 (65%). In Coventry City's own 24 away matches read, 12 (50%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 57% of games.
The two sides
Manchester City -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 40 (65%); over 1.5 in 35 (88%); over 3.5 in 9 (22%). At home: over 2.5 in 15 of its 20 (75%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 40 (52%). At home: 10 of its 20 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 16 of its own 40 (40%); failed to score in 4 (10%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Manchester City's own 40 matches read: Manchester City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (52%). Manchester City itself held the lead in 18, winning 17. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 20.
Coventry City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 48 (62%); over 1.5 in 39 (81%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 24 (62%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 48 (56%). Away: 13 of its 24 (54%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 17 of its own 48 (35%); failed to score in 9 (19%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Coventry City's own 48 matches read: Coventry City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (52%). Coventry City itself held the lead in 19, winning 19. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.
Built 06:39 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.