Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 45% of their games, both teams scoring in 54%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 38%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Fleetwood Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season. Shrewsbury Town: 50 league matches in the bank, 4 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Fleetwood Town's numbers over its games, Shrewsbury Town's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Fleetwood Town's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (28%). In Shrewsbury Town's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 38% of games.
The two sides
Fleetwood Town -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 36 (72%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 33 of its own 50 (66%). At home: 20 of its 25 (80%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Fleetwood Town's own 50 matches read: Fleetwood Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 14 (28%). Fleetwood Town itself held the lead in 7, winning 5. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 25.
Shrewsbury Town -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 50 (46%); over 1.5 in 32 (64%); over 3.5 in 15 (30%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 50 (42%). Away: 12 of its 25 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 50 (28%); failed to score in 20 (40%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Shrewsbury Town's own 50 matches read: Shrewsbury Town or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (48%). Shrewsbury Town itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.
Built 06:08 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.